Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Paysandu with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 63.0% | 32.2% | −30.8 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 61.9% | 39.2% | −22.7 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 53.5% | 32.6% | −20.9 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 23.4% | 38.4% | +15.1 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 52.9% | 67.0% | +14.1 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 76.5% | 89.3% | +12.7 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 10.1% | 21.6% | +11.4 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 49.5% | 38.0% | −11.4 |
| Vila Nova | Champion | 14.1% | 3.5% | −10.5 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 79.5% | 89.9% | +10.3 |
