Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Internacional with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Promotion | 59.4% | 35.7% | −23.7 |
| América-MG | Champion | 19.3% | 40.7% | +21.4 |
| Internacional | Champion | 48.9% | 28.9% | −20.0 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 84.4% | 66.0% | −18.4 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 17.2% | 34.9% | +17.7 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 30.9% | 45.1% | +14.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 73.6% | 86.8% | +13.3 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 60.9% | 49.4% | −11.5 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 41.3% | 52.7% | +11.4 |
| Internacional | Promotion | 90.2% | 78.9% | −11.3 |
