Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat Vila Nova with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 12 (before the first match) against those on July 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 54.6% | 30.5% | −24.1 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 41.9% | 20.8% | −21.1 |
| CRB | Promotion | 32.5% | 53.2% | +20.7 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 49.1% | 30.4% | −18.7 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 64.2% | 46.5% | −17.7 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 14.6% | 31.8% | +17.2 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 12.4% | 29.5% | +17.1 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 38.5% | 22.4% | −16.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 12.7% | 27.9% | +15.2 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 15.1% | 29.8% | +14.8 |
