Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat ABC with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 1 (before the first match) against those on July 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Promotion | 66.9% | 48.2% | −18.6 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 29.5% | 11.3% | −18.2 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 28.3% | 10.3% | −18.1 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 57.4% | 75.3% | +17.9 |
| Juventude | Champion | 19.7% | 36.8% | +17.1 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 12.1% | 29.0% | +16.9 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 96.5% | 81.1% | −15.4 |
| Guarani | Champion | 28.0% | 13.2% | −14.8 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 22.6% | 8.1% | −14.5 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 27.0% | 41.3% | +14.3 |
