Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 40.6% | 29.1% | −11.5 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 13.7% | 24.7% | +11.0 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 73.6% | 84.5% | +10.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 57.2% | 66.7% | +9.5 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 56.8% | 47.6% | −9.1 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 66.4% | 74.9% | +8.5 |
| Paysandu | Champion | 12.7% | 19.8% | +7.1 |
| CRB | Relegation | 12.0% | 5.3% | −6.7 |
| Vitória | Champion | 8.2% | 13.0% | +4.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 11.5% | 7.2% | −4.3 |
