Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat ABC with a 22.9% chance and Sampaio Corrêa beat Vitória with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 7 (before the first match) against those on May 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | Relegation | 32.1% | 16.2% | −15.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 30.4% | 14.5% | −15.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 26.7% | 42.3% | +15.6 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 20.4% | 34.8% | +14.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 28.3% | 14.2% | −14.0 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 17.0% | 29.9% | +12.9 |
| Macaé | Promotion | 11.5% | 22.6% | +11.1 |
| CRB | Promotion | 13.1% | 24.0% | +11.0 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 9.5% | 20.0% | +10.6 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 25.8% | 15.6% | −10.1 |
