Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Ceará with a 20.1% chance and Avaí beat Figueirense with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on August 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | Relegation | 43.8% | 31.2% | −12.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 36.2% | 25.7% | −10.6 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 32.3% | 22.3% | −10.0 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 23.0% | 32.7% | +9.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 10.2% | 18.4% | +8.3 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 27.3% | 35.4% | +8.1 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 49.5% | 42.2% | −7.3 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 29.3% | 36.6% | +7.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 38.9% | 31.7% | −7.2 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 4.7% | 11.3% | +6.5 |
