Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Duque de Caxias beat Bahia with a 10.2% chance and Sport beat América-RN with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 1 (before the first match) against those on June 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 37.7% | 20.8% | −16.8 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 37.9% | 23.6% | −14.3 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 78.9% | 65.6% | −13.2 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 28.8% | 41.9% | +13.1 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 31.9% | 44.8% | +13.0 |
| ASA | Relegation | 24.4% | 12.7% | −11.7 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 30.6% | 41.0% | +10.4 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 49.6% | 39.8% | −9.8 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 14.0% | 23.1% | +9.0 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 63.3% | 72.2% | +8.9 |
