Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat São Caetano with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 6 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 26.0% | 42.1% | +16.2 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 26.8% | 42.6% | +15.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 29.7% | 14.0% | −15.7 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 31.8% | 16.6% | −15.2 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 19.6% | 34.6% | +15.1 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 23.6% | 37.8% | +14.2 |
| Duque de Caxias | Promotion | 22.6% | 10.3% | −12.3 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 29.6% | 41.5% | +12.0 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 16.3% | 28.1% | +11.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 18.5% | 7.5% | −11.1 |
