Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Paulista with a 21.8% chance and Ituano beat Portuguesa with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 21 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulista | Promotion | 46.6% | 16.5% | −30.1 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 32.2% | 9.0% | −23.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 73.7% | 51.3% | −22.4 |
| Sport | Champion | 19.0% | 38.7% | +19.8 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 49.2% | 68.8% | +19.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 56.1% | 75.2% | +19.1 |
| Gama | Relegation | 23.4% | 7.3% | −16.1 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 71.5% | 85.3% | +13.7 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 23.3% | 36.8% | +13.5 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 71.4% | 84.2% | +12.8 |
