Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Remo with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 2 (before the first match) against those on July 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 54.1% | 40.3% | −13.8 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 30.2% | 40.4% | +10.1 |
| Remo | Relegation | 53.9% | 63.5% | +9.5 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 41.9% | 33.4% | −8.4 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 33.8% | 42.0% | +8.1 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 20.3% | 28.0% | +7.7 |
| Gama | Relegation | 20.9% | 27.6% | +6.7 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 12.5% | 7.3% | −5.2 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 39.9% | 44.6% | +4.7 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 19.0% | 23.8% | +4.7 |
