Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Botafogo with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 3 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 16.2% | 34.5% | +18.3 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 52.7% | 38.0% | −14.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 50.6% | 37.1% | −13.5 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 19.8% | 32.6% | +12.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 61.6% | 74.1% | +12.5 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 22.4% | 9.9% | −12.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 27.2% | 38.8% | +11.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 66.5% | 55.6% | −10.8 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 50.1% | 60.2% | +10.1 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 58.8% | 48.9% | −9.9 |
