Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat São Paulo with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 31 (before the first match) against those on July 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | Relegation | 48.6% | 37.1% | −11.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 25.4% | 36.6% | +11.2 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 28.2% | 19.5% | −8.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 17.8% | 9.2% | −8.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 18.6% | 10.9% | −7.7 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 43.4% | 50.9% | +7.5 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 24.3% | 31.7% | +7.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 53.1% | 45.8% | −7.4 |
| Remo | Relegation | 66.6% | 73.5% | +6.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 42.2% | 48.6% | +6.4 |
