Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 15 (before the first match) against those on December 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 65.5% | 0% | −65.5 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 38.0% | 96.4% | +58.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 1.4% | 59.6% | +58.2 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 18.6% | 74.6% | +56.0 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 94.6% | 47.8% | −46.8 |
| Ceará | Sudamericana | 58.0% | 26.6% | −31.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 69.3% | 100% | +30.7 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 5.0% | 35.6% | +30.6 |
| Santos | Relegation | 28.7% | 1.5% | −27.2 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 73.9% | 100% | +26.1 |
