Brazilian Série A 2025

Finished

Updated through 12/21/2025

Title race

100%

chance to win the title
100 pp ahead of Palmeiras

Favorites for Libertadores

Highlights

round 38 complete

Ceará

38ª

Duel

Ceará had a relegation risk of only 0.2% in round 33, and still went down.

Santos

38ª

Duel

Santos's relegation risk peaked at 63.8% in round 10, and they survived.

Flamengo

38ª

Duel

Flamengo finished on 79 points, 3 clear of Palmeiras.

The table's percentages are recalculated after every result and may differ from this analysis, which reflects the moment stated above.

probability by zone

Statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

#	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Champion	Libertadores	Libertadores Second Round	Sudamericana	Relegation
1	Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	+51	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%
2	Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	+33	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
3	Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	+24	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
4	Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	+24	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
5	Fluminense	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	+11	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
6	Botafogo	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	+20	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%
7	Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	+4	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%
8	São Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%
9	Grêmio	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%
10	Red Bull Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%
11	Atletico-MG	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%
12	Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%
13	Corinthians	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
14	Vasco	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%
15	Vitória	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
16	Internacional	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
17	Ceará	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
18	Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
19	Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
20	Sport	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%