Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Botafogo with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on May 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 66.9% | 14.0% | −52.9 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 7.9% | 40.8% | +32.9 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 81.0% | 51.2% | −29.9 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 34.9% | 13.3% | −21.6 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 7.9% | 26.8% | +18.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 31.5% | 49.0% | +17.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 12.4% | 29.4% | +16.9 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 36.7% | 53.0% | +16.3 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 79.3% | 63.4% | −15.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 21.9% | 37.6% | +15.8 |
