Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 30 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 76.6% | 25.3% | −51.3 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 23.4% | 74.7% | +51.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 63.8% | 86.7% | +22.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 35.1% | 13.0% | −22.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 64.9% | 87.0% | +22.1 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 78.9% | >99.9% | +21.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 71.6% | 92.0% | +20.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 28.4% | 8.0% | −20.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 49.5% | 64.2% | +14.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 18.3% | 4.2% | −14.1 |
