Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat São Paulo with a 19.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 35.7% | 53.7% | +18.0 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 36.2% | 22.9% | −13.4 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 97.4% | 85.1% | −12.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 50.2% | 38.0% | −12.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 46.5% | 34.9% | −11.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 48.8% | 59.6% | +10.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 21.9% | 32.7% | +10.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 41.1% | 51.3% | +10.2 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 24.6% | 34.2% | +9.6 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 33.3% | 23.7% | −9.6 |
