Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat São Paulo with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 30 (before the first match) against those on August 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 45.2% | 69.1% | +23.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 27.8% | 49.7% | +22.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 30.7% | 50.6% | +19.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 29.7% | 49.0% | +19.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 55.5% | 36.5% | −19.0 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 89.1% | 70.3% | −18.9 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 50.3% | 31.8% | −18.5 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 44.8% | 26.6% | −18.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 54.3% | 37.1% | −17.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 24.0% | 8.5% | −15.6 |
