Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Cruzeiro with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 17 (before the first match) against those on July 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 60.7% | 34.9% | −25.8 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 20.4% | 41.3% | +20.9 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 50.6% | 31.8% | −18.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 22.1% | 38.9% | +16.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 53.2% | 69.7% | +16.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 38.5% | 22.5% | −15.9 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 8.8% | 23.6% | +14.7 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 46.3% | 32.5% | −13.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 30.1% | 16.5% | −13.6 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 12.7% | 25.6% | +12.9 |
