Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
GrêmioRelegation51.5%18.4%−33.1
VascoRelegation51.3%18.8%−32.5
São PauloLibertadores45.5%23.8%−21.7
GrêmioSudamericana17.2%37.2%+20.1
VascoSudamericana17.3%36.9%+19.6
BotafogoRelegation27.5%8.8%−18.7
América-MGRelegation16.7%31.6%+14.9
BahiaRelegation50.1%64.6%+14.5
GoiásRelegation27.6%41.9%+14.3
CoritibaRelegation42.5%56.6%+14.1
Home 34.2%
Draw 27.3%
Away 38.5%
Home 50.0%
Draw 24.2%
Away 25.8%
Home 49.8%
Draw 24.2%
Away 26.0%
Home 29.7%
Draw 25.6%
Away 44.7%
Home 36.0%
Draw 28.0%
Away 36.0%
Home 47.6%
Draw 24.8%
Away 27.6%
Home 50.8%
Draw 24.0%
Away 25.2%
Home 53.5%
Draw 23.3%
Away 23.3%
Home 54.9%
Draw 22.9%
Away 22.2%
Home 30.3%
Draw 25.8%
Away 43.9%