Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 4 (before the first match) against those on December 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 14.8% | 62.3% | +47.6 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 72.6% | 36.3% | −36.3 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 33.5% | 0% | −33.5 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 62.2% | 82.6% | +20.4 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 21.7% | 5.6% | −16.0 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 26.8% | 41.7% | +15.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores Second Round | 71.0% | 85.6% | +14.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 11.3% | <0.1% | −11.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Libertadores Second Round | 2.1% | 13.1% | +11.0 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 87.6% | 97.1% | +9.5 |
