Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Palmeiras with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 18.6% | 50.2% | +31.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 63.2% | 35.0% | −28.2 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 29.0% | 8.8% | −20.2 |
| Cuiabá | Sudamericana | 27.5% | 46.1% | +18.7 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 18.8% | 33.1% | +14.3 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 25.5% | 11.5% | −14.0 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 24.7% | 36.3% | +11.6 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 16.5% | 6.0% | −10.4 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 40.0% | 50.2% | +10.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Sudamericana | 34.5% | 24.5% | −10.1 |
