Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | <0.1% | 100% | +100.0 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 69.8% | 25.6% | −44.1 |
| Ceará | Sudamericana | 44.8% | 87.1% | +42.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Sudamericana | 63.8% | 27.8% | −36.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 21.4% | 56.3% | +34.9 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 39.6% | 10.1% | −29.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 14.9% | 43.3% | +28.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 27.7% | 0% | −27.7 |
| Sport | Relegation | 70.8% | 97.8% | +27.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 47.6% | 24.5% | −23.1 |
