Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Atletico-MG with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 14 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Relegation | 69.2% | 44.2% | −25.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 24.5% | 48.5% | +24.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 43.3% | 20.9% | −22.4 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 41.9% | 20.7% | −21.2 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 47.2% | 67.2% | +20.1 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 25.3% | 45.4% | +20.1 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 49.3% | 67.2% | +17.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 37.6% | 54.7% | +17.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Sudamericana | 45.1% | 61.5% | +16.4 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 36.4% | 52.1% | +15.7 |
