Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Athletico-PR with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 7 (before the first match) against those on October 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 63.2% | 35.6% | −27.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 16.0% | 38.3% | +22.3 |
| Santos | Relegation | 49.4% | 27.4% | −21.9 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 41.4% | 63.0% | +21.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 18.3% | 37.4% | +19.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 50.8% | 32.2% | −18.6 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 13.8% | 30.9% | +17.2 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 8.8% | 25.0% | +16.2 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 48.9% | 32.9% | −16.0 |
| Sport | Relegation | 51.0% | 36.9% | −14.1 |
