Round 23

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Grêmio with a 16.1% chance and Santos beat Fluminense with a 24.5% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
JuventudeRelegation18.4%65.6%+47.2
GrêmioRelegation21.6%59.9%+38.4
FortalezaLibertadores34.6%72.4%+37.8
América-MGSudamericana26.3%61.6%+35.3
Red Bull BragantinoSudamericana50.7%15.9%−34.8
BahiaRelegation49.7%16.8%−32.9
FortalezaSudamericana36.7%4.7%−32.0
Red Bull BragantinoLibertadores15.6%46.6%+31.0
InternacionalLibertadores37.4%8.0%−29.5
Atlético-GOSudamericana40.1%69.3%+29.2
Home 41.8%
Draw 26.4%
Away 31.8%
Home 45.8%
Draw 25.3%
Away 28.9%
Home 24.5%
Draw 23.7%
Away 51.8%
Home 36.4%
Draw 27.9%
Away 35.7%
Home 25.7%
Draw 24.1%
Away 50.1%
Home 40.2%
Draw 26.8%
Away 33.0%
Home 42.6%
Draw 26.2%
Away 31.2%
Home 63.1%
Draw 20.9%
Away 16.1%
Home 33.4%
Draw 27.0%
Away 39.7%
Home 24.5%
Draw 23.7%
Away 51.8%