Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 30 (before the first match) against those on November 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 1.1% | 96.7% | +95.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 8.6% | 100% | +91.4 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 11.4% | 88.0% | +76.6 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 3.8% | 73.0% | +69.2 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 62.3% | 0.1% | −62.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 38.9% | 97.7% | +58.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 43.5% | 100% | +56.5 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 2.8% | 58.4% | +55.6 |
| Sport | Relegation | 44.5% | 98.2% | +53.7 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 35.1% | 86.6% | +51.5 |
