Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Flamengo with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 1 (before the first match) against those on August 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 50.0% | 74.8% | +24.8 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 51.3% | 32.2% | −19.1 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 60.4% | 41.8% | −18.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 36.5% | 53.9% | +17.4 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 43.6% | 26.8% | −16.9 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 33.6% | 16.9% | −16.7 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 63.5% | 47.1% | −16.5 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 11.4% | 27.0% | +15.6 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 31.9% | 46.4% | +14.5 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 10.9% | 25.4% | +14.5 |
