Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Cruzeiro with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 19 (before the first match) against those on May 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 69.0% | 25.0% | −44.0 |
| CSA | Relegation | 78.1% | 34.9% | −43.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 31.8% | 57.2% | +25.4 |
| Chapecoense | Sudamericana | 7.2% | 32.5% | +25.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 17.6% | 40.5% | +22.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 47.7% | 26.0% | −21.7 |
| CSA | Sudamericana | 4.1% | 25.6% | +21.5 |
| Bahia | Libertadores | 10.6% | 31.2% | +20.6 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 7.2% | 27.4% | +20.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 40.5% | 20.7% | −19.9 |
