Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat São Paulo with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 73.3% | 41.3% | −31.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores Second Round | 24.5% | 54.5% | +30.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 57.4% | 31.1% | −26.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 48.5% | 22.2% | −26.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 37.1% | 62.8% | +25.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 39.2% | 61.8% | +22.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 55.8% | 77.6% | +21.8 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 44.8% | 66.1% | +21.3 |
| Ceará | Sudamericana | 31.9% | 52.8% | +20.9 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 67.7% | 47.3% | −20.4 |
