Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Santos with a 24.7% chance and CSA beat Fluminense with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on August 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 60.4% | 34.6% | −25.8 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 67.5% | 43.4% | −24.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 40.7% | 63.3% | +22.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 55.7% | 34.1% | −21.6 |
| Santos | Champion | 41.5% | 21.1% | −20.4 |
| CSA | Relegation | 80.3% | 60.1% | −20.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 24.9% | 43.9% | +19.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 55.4% | 72.6% | +17.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 23.5% | 40.1% | +16.5 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 83.3% | 67.1% | −16.2 |
