Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Internacional with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 29 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 32.6% | 73.8% | +41.2 |
| Santos | Champion | 49.9% | 20.1% | −29.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 39.5% | 11.2% | −28.3 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 4.1% | 27.2% | +23.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 89.1% | 66.7% | −22.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 4.5% | 24.9% | +20.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 62.5% | 44.5% | −18.0 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 49.7% | 32.0% | −17.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 51.5% | 34.6% | −16.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 31.3% | 15.8% | −15.4 |
