Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Fluminense with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 1 (before the first match) against those on June 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 74.0% | 47.3% | −26.6 |
| Santos | Relegation | 48.5% | 22.6% | −25.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 52.3% | 32.0% | −20.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 27.7% | 47.1% | +19.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 29.3% | 48.2% | +18.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 35.8% | 18.4% | −17.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 22.5% | 39.9% | +17.5 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 28.4% | 11.3% | −17.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 36.8% | 53.0% | +16.2 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 18.3% | 32.8% | +14.5 |
