Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Vasco with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 7 (before the first match) against those on May 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 84.2% | 36.3% | −47.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 23.2% | 45.8% | +22.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 51.5% | 29.0% | −22.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 34.4% | 56.7% | +22.3 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 2.5% | 23.4% | +20.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 74.4% | 53.9% | −20.5 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 22.8% | 43.3% | +20.5 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 35.1% | 17.7% | −17.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 10.9% | 27.7% | +16.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 14.7% | 31.2% | +16.5 |
