Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 4 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Internacional with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 27.1% | 49.7% | +22.6 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 51.5% | 30.0% | −21.5 |
| Sport | Relegation | 56.4% | 76.3% | +19.9 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 62.1% | 43.0% | −19.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 39.6% | 57.5% | +17.9 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 38.8% | 21.5% | −17.4 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 21.2% | 38.0% | +16.8 |
| Chapecoense | Sudamericana | 14.2% | 30.9% | +16.7 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 60.3% | 43.9% | −16.4 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 50.5% | 66.6% | +16.1 |
