Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Atletico-MG with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 57.4% | 32.2% | −25.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 41.4% | 62.2% | +20.8 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 48.1% | 27.7% | −20.3 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 31.1% | 50.5% | +19.4 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 22.5% | 41.2% | +18.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 34.6% | 15.9% | −18.7 |
| Chapecoense | Sudamericana | 39.2% | 20.9% | −18.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 28.0% | 43.2% | +15.2 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 64.5% | 49.4% | −15.1 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 27.5% | 42.4% | +14.9 |
