Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat Sport with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 14 (before the first match) against those on July 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Relegation | 86.5% | 63.4% | −23.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 27.2% | 46.9% | +19.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 60.7% | 42.0% | −18.8 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 33.4% | 14.9% | −18.5 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 42.0% | 59.6% | +17.7 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 38.0% | 21.6% | −16.4 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 15.5% | 31.5% | +16.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 58.5% | 74.4% | +15.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 17.6% | 33.3% | +15.7 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 81.0% | 65.7% | −15.3 |
