Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Grêmio with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 22 (before the first match) against those on May 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 48.2% | 13.4% | −34.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 70.5% | 45.8% | −24.7 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 16.6% | 38.5% | +21.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 25.8% | 7.0% | −18.8 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 31.9% | 13.1% | −18.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 20.8% | 38.8% | +18.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 45.4% | 63.1% | +17.7 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 33.2% | 50.7% | +17.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 29.4% | 12.0% | −17.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 28.6% | 12.2% | −16.4 |
