Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 1 draw and 8 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Flamengo with a 22.5% chance and Coritiba beat Avaí with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 10 (before the first match) against those on July 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 69.1% | 40.9% | −28.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 45.6% | 18.3% | −27.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 29.1% | 51.2% | +22.1 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 28.2% | 7.5% | −20.7 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 20.8% | 39.3% | +18.5 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 25.1% | 42.1% | +17.0 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 14.8% | 31.7% | +16.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 30.2% | 14.5% | −15.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 21.7% | 7.5% | −14.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 26.7% | 40.8% | +14.1 |
