Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Botafogo with a 20.8% chance, Fluminense beat Internacional with a 23.0% chance, and Coritiba beat Palmeiras with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 32.7% | 62.4% | +29.7 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 57.5% | 32.9% | −24.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 26.3% | 49.2% | +22.9 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 33.3% | 53.9% | +20.6 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 28.4% | 10.7% | −17.7 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 44.5% | 27.5% | −17.0 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 65.9% | 50.3% | −15.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 29.2% | 14.1% | −15.1 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 12.4% | 27.2% | +14.8 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 4.5% | 17.9% | +13.4 |
