Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Botafogo with a 19.1% chance, Palmeiras beat Vasco with a 24.1% chance, and Goiás beat Santos with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 14 (before the first match) against those on June 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 65.1% | 41.1% | −24.0 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 35.6% | 21.8% | −13.9 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 33.9% | 22.3% | −11.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 26.0% | 37.1% | +11.1 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 20.8% | 10.2% | −10.6 |
| Santos | Relegation | 13.5% | 24.0% | +10.5 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 53.3% | 63.8% | +10.5 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 7.5% | 17.8% | +10.4 |
| Portuguesa | Sudamericana | 20.6% | 30.9% | +10.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 57.5% | 67.3% | +9.9 |
