Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Flamengo with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 8 (before the first match) against those on June 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 42.9% | 57.5% | +14.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 37.3% | 23.1% | −14.2 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 51.6% | 65.1% | +13.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 29.0% | 41.7% | +12.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 67.7% | 55.1% | −12.6 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 48.0% | 35.6% | −12.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 71.6% | 59.4% | −12.2 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 42.1% | 53.3% | +11.3 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 30.5% | 20.7% | −9.8 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 16.6% | 26.0% | +9.4 |
