Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Figueirense with a 23.8% chance, Grêmio beat Palmeiras with a 23.4% chance, Flamengo beat Botafogo with a 24.5% chance, and Atletico-MG beat Vitória with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 58.5% | 26.4% | −32.0 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 35.2% | 6.7% | −28.5 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 73.1% | 45.5% | −27.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 55.4% | 81.4% | +25.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 61.1% | 38.9% | −22.2 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 37.8% | 58.8% | +20.9 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 45.7% | 66.1% | +20.4 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 5.2% | 25.1% | +19.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 94.8% | 74.9% | −19.9 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 28.0% | 47.9% | +19.9 |
