Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Fluminense with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Relegation | 24.5% | 53.7% | +29.2 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 15.8% | 34.4% | +18.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 76.7% | 94.7% | +18.1 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 23.3% | 5.3% | −18.1 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 73.5% | 91.5% | +18.0 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 77.5% | 59.7% | −17.8 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 55.7% | 42.2% | −13.4 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 44.3% | 57.8% | +13.4 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 28.2% | 15.1% | −13.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 21.5% | 9.4% | −12.1 |
