Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat São Paulo with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 9 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 39.9% | 19.1% | −20.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 42.1% | 24.8% | −17.4 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 46.5% | 29.6% | −16.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 26.2% | 38.7% | +12.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 60.9% | 73.3% | +12.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 33.0% | 45.2% | +12.1 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 17.3% | 29.0% | +11.8 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 30.2% | 19.0% | −11.3 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 26.2% | 15.1% | −11.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 39.3% | 50.2% | +11.0 |
