Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fortaleza beat Fluminense with a 19.5% chance and Paraná beat Figueirense with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 43.5% | 60.4% | +16.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 35.3% | 49.3% | +14.0 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 38.9% | 28.0% | −10.9 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 22.9% | 12.0% | −10.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 65.8% | 76.3% | +10.5 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 89.2% | 79.0% | −10.2 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 21.8% | 11.7% | −10.1 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 21.4% | 30.9% | +9.6 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 20.1% | 29.5% | +9.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 13.7% | 22.5% | +8.8 |
