Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Fluminense with a 22.0% chance, Grêmio beat Corinthians with a 23.8% chance, Vasco beat Internacional with a 19.8% chance, and Juventude beat Paraná with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 65.5% | 49.0% | −16.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 65.4% | 49.5% | −15.9 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 32.6% | 18.6% | −14.0 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 34.4% | 20.5% | −13.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 34.5% | 48.0% | +13.5 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 39.9% | 53.2% | +13.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 27.4% | 14.0% | −13.3 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 32.1% | 45.1% | +13.0 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 55.9% | 68.5% | +12.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 19.1% | 9.8% | −9.3 |
