Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Athletico-PR with a 23.4% chance and Ponte Preta beat Palmeiras with a 12.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Relegation | 53.7% | 29.4% | −24.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 51.7% | 32.5% | −19.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 42.8% | 27.9% | −15.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 42.7% | 29.8% | −13.0 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 39.2% | 51.7% | +12.5 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 38.4% | 27.3% | −11.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 36.0% | 25.3% | −10.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 5.2% | 15.9% | +10.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 7.7% | 18.3% | +10.6 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 10.8% | 21.2% | +10.4 |
