Brazilian Série A 2026

Ongoing

Updated through 09/20/2026

Title race

74.8%

chance to win the title
51 pp ahead of Palmeiras

Favorites for Libertadores

Highlights

round 28 complete

Flamengo

Less than 0.01% of risk was left. Now Flamengo is safe from relegation.

28ª

Grêmio

Less than 0.01% of title hope was left. Now Grêmio can no longer win it.

28ª

Botafogo

0.08% is all the Libertadores hope Botafogo has left.

28ª

The table's percentages are recalculated after every result and may differ from this analysis, which reflects the moment stated above.

probability by zone

Statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

#	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Champion	Libertadores	Libertadores Second Round	Sudamericana	Relegation
1	Flamengo	60	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	74.8%	99.9%	0.1%	<0.1%	0%
2	Palmeiras	57	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	23.5%	98.7%	1.3%	<0.1%	<0.1%
3	Athletico-PR	49	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	0.9%	67.4%	25.6%	7.0%	<0.1%
4	Fluminense	48	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	0.5%	53.7%	32.7%	13.6%	<0.1%
5	Bahia	46	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	0.2%	30.5%	38.7%	30.6%	<0.1%
6	Cruzeiro	45	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	0.1%	33.0%	38.8%	28.1%	<0.1%
7	Atletico-MG	40	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	<0.1%	7.9%	23.5%	65.0%	0.1%
8	Santos	38	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	<0.1%	5.6%	19.4%	69.5%	0.2%
9	Coritiba	38	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	<0.1%	0.7%	4.6%	69.7%	1.6%
10	Red Bull Bragantino	36	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	<0.1%	0.6%	3.7%	63.6%	3.0%
11	São Paulo	36	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	<0.1%	1.9%	9.1%	72.8%	0.9%
12	Botafogo	35	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	<0.1%	0.1%	1.0%	46.6%	7.8%
13	Vitória	33	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.6%	33.9%	14.8%
14	Corinthians	32	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	17.6%	31.6%
15	Mirassol	32	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.6%	35.8%	14.6%
16	Vasco	31	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.4%	33.3%	15.7%
17	Grêmio	29	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	6.8%	55.0%
18	Internacional	28	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	6.0%	59.5%
19	Remo	23	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.2%	95.8%
20	Chapecoense	18	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	99.5%